A | Washington, Oct 14 (UNI) The global economy is "dangerously close" to a recession, as inflation remains elevated, interest rates rise, and growing debt burden hits the developing world, World Bank President David Malpass said.
"We've lowered our 2023 growth forecast from 3 per cent to 1.9 per cent for the global growth, that's dangerously close to a world recession," Malpass on Thursday said at a press conference during the IMF and World Bank annual meetings.
"All of the problems that people have taken note of, the inflation problem, the interest rate rises, and the cutoff of capital flow to developing world hit the poor hard," he said, highlighting the buildup of debt for developing countries.
"That's a world recessions could happen under certain circumstances," Malpass said.
In a study published in mid-September, the World Bank warned that as central banks across the world simultaneously hike interest rates in response to inflation, the world may be edging toward a global recession in 2023, with a growth forecast of only 0.5 per cent.
The World Bank chief noted at the press conference that world population growth is estimated at 1.1 per cent per year. "So if you get much slower in terms of world growth, that means people are going backward," Malpass said in response to a question from Xinhua.
Citing a recent World Bank report, Malpass said that Covid-19 pandemic dealt the biggest setback to global poverty-reduction efforts since 1990, pushing about 70 million people into extreme poverty in 2020, and the war in Ukraine threatens to make matters worse.
According to the Poverty and Shared Prosperity Report, global median income declined by 4 per cent in 2020, the first decline since its measurements of median income began in 1990.
"So if we have a world recession now, that would also depress median income, meaning that the people in the lower half of the income scale are going down," Malpass said.
The World Bank chief also noted that he has been concerned about the concentration of capital in the world in the top end of the advanced economies.
"So that's, I think, one of the issues that the world has to deal with to allow capital to flow to new businesses and to developing countries, that would take a change in the direction of fiscal and monetary policies in the advanced economies," said Malpass.
The world is facing very challenging environment from the advanced economies, and that has serious implications, dangers for the developing countries, he said. "My deep concern is that these conditions and trends might persist into 2023 and 2024."
UNI/XINHUA PRT。
B | 今年全省为新就业群体“夏日送清凉”活动走访慰问4.3万人送来“清凉”，暖了心
近日，在秦皇岛市海港区团结里社区党群服务中心门前，志愿者为新就业群体送水。秦皇岛市委社会工作部供图日报讯（记者王璐丹）为持续加强对新就业群体的关心关爱，今年入夏以来，省委社会工作部倡议全省开展“夏日送清凉”活动，各地纷纷采取暖心举措、整合多方资源、升级服务阵地，全方位、多角度开展夏日关爱帮扶行动。截至目前，全省累计投入资金271万元，走访慰问4.3万人。8月7日，秦皇岛市海港区团结里社区党群服务中心门前，外卖小哥陈永杰将电动车靠边停稳，从门口的“爱心冰柜”里取出一瓶冒着凉气的矿泉水来解渴。“自从这里有了‘爱心冰柜’，我们喝水方便多了。而且每次来这儿取水，冰柜里总是满满当当的。
C | ”陈永杰说。
D | 立足便民惠民，秦皇岛市委社会工作部发起“爱心冰柜·共享清凉”关爱活动，布设“爱心冰柜”点位55个，共收到50余家爱心企业、商户、社会组织的物资捐赠。聚焦高温天气下新就业群体的实际需求，各地还坚持把暖心阵地建设作为关爱新就业群体的重要抓手，持续升级改造服务站点，打造全域覆盖、便民可及的“清凉港湾”。前不久，在石家庄市长安区新就业群体党群服务中心，一份份定制“清凉大礼包”送到了骑手代表手中。防晒、降温、防雨、防暑、驱蚊，每件物资都是户外配送所需。活动中，工作人员还现场宣传高温防暑、权益保障、食品安全监督等政策。唐山市依托352个暖新驿站，邀请医护人员为新就业群体提供健康咨询，请律师协会组织青年律师开展普法宣传；安平县依托144个新时代党群服务网格驿站和6个安“新”驿站，提供饮水、充电等20项基础服务。“紧扣需求发力，才能把服务做到点子上。”省委社会工作部相关负责人介绍，各级党委社会工作部将送清凉活动与收集诉求相结合，通过多种方式收集办理急难愁盼问题。泊头市委社会工作部在送清凉活动现场和110余个服务站点同步上线“泊头市新就业群体诉求建议征集二维码”，引导新就业群体“扫码发声”；保定市组织外卖骑手、货车司机、快递员代表围绕高温作业保障、交通安全、休息就餐、权益维护等畅所欲言，收集诉求219条；雄安新区将送清凉活动与体验式调研相结合，组织行业党委、社区书记、物业经理等人员，跟随外卖骑手在辖区内随单配送，针对调研情况及时调整服务方式。广集群体诉求，各地在送物资、送清凉的基础上，扩展服务范围，让关爱更有深度、更具实效。
E | 近日，在保定市莲池区长城家园社区党群服务中心活动室内，志愿者们带领小朋友一笔一画临摹。现场120余名孩子，其中就有30名外卖骑手、网约车司机、快递员等新就业群体的子女。“跑单一整天，最放心不下独自在家的孩子，现在社区有免费托管，安全又靠谱，解决了我的难题。
F | ”外卖员李永梅说。
G | 针对货车司机、网约车司机长期驾车带来的肩颈、腰部劳损等健康隐患，承德市为200名司机提供免费职业健康体检；邯郸市开展职业规划与发展专题培训，组织主城区90名新就业群体代表参训，助力新就业群体融入城市、更好发展。“下一步我们将认真总结‘夏日送清凉’活动经验，把集中性关爱与常态化服务相结合，围绕新就业群体实际需求，整合人力资源和社会保障、卫生健康、工会等部门资源，延伸开展诉求收集、技能培训、心理疏导等暖‘新’服务，不断增强新就业群体获得感、归属感。
H | ”省委社会工作部相关负责人表示。
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