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体坛：国足亚洲杯对手内耗主帅离任足协高层变动成主因_我的网站

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一 | 体坛周报全媒体记者王晓瑞报道半个月前，国足亚洲杯小组赛对手吉尔吉斯斯坦队还信誓旦旦，扬言全力争取小组出线。结果就在8月25日，该队主教练普罗辛内斯基正式离任。 An already precarious situation regarding food and water supplies for the residents of Gaza has exacerbated into a humanitarian crisis due to the ongoing conflict between Hamas and Israel, experts told ABC News.The horrors civilians are facing as a result of fighting between Hamas, a terrorist organization that is based in Gaza, and Israel extend far beyond the immediate bloodshed.Days after Hamas launched a surprise terrorist attack on Israel, experts on war and food insecurity are concerned that the fighting will lead to widespread suffering for civilians, especially those living in the Gaza Strip, one of the most densely populated regions in the world.As the fighting continues and borders remain closed, residents in Gaza are expected to run out of food, potable water and essential supplies in a matter of weeks, Shada Moghraby, spokesperson for the World Food Programme's New York office, told ABC News.This is why food and water will be so scarce in the region going forward, according to the experts:

Gaza was facing a food security, water crisis before the most recent conflict began

There was already a humanitarian crisis brewing in the Gaza Strip before the fighting commenced.With about 2.4 million people packed into just 140 square miles, residents living in the Gaza Strip, wedged between Israel, Egypt and the Mediterranean Sea, were experiencing threats to their food and water supply even before Hamas' surprise terrorist attack on Israel led to war.Thousands of years of conflict in the region has also degraded the land, leaving "reverberating environmental effects" and making it nearly impossible for Gaza to produce its own food supply, Doug Weir, research and policy director of The Conflict and Environment Observatory, told ABC News. The recurring periods of violence have led to high levels of disruption to infrastructure, particularly water and sanitation, as well as power plants, Weir said."You have this highly degraded strip of land trying to sustain a very high, very dense population," he said. "That's kind of the situation that population has been living in, to this day."There is no surface water -- lakes or rivers -- to draw from in the region, David Gampe, a geographer and climate scientist at the Ludwig Maximilian University in Munich, Germany, told ABC News. The only resource to extract water from is the groundwater, Gampe said.Therefore, the aquifer supplying water to the territory is over-extracted. Only about 4% of the water extracted from the aquifer is actually potable, Weir said.The lack of an adequate supply of clean water has been the focus of the argument on the actual habitability of Gaza for years, Weir said. Nearly all of the drinking water in the territory is bottled, Gampe said.About 80% of the population in Gaza was in need of humanitarian aid before the bombings began days ago, Samer Abdeljaber, regional director for the World Food Programme, told ABC News."The situation was already dire. and now these escalations make things really, very difficult on those people who are already suffering from food insecurity," Moghraby said.The economic consequences of the constant conflict have also taken a toll on the region, making it difficult for it to invest in advancements in infrastructure, Moghraby said.

Borders are now even more restricted

The vast majority of the food supply is "highly dependent" on imports, Weir said. This is making the blockade around the territory even more injurious for the people stuck inside.Earlier this week, Israel stopped entry of food, water, fuel and medicine into Gaza. The sole remaining access from Egypt was shut down on Tuesday.There is barely any power in Gaza, as its sole power plant has run out of fuel as a result of the blockade, the Gaza Ministry of Energy said on Wednesday.As soon as the power is switched off, infrastructure -- including water treatment and transit -- can't work effectively, Weir said.In 2020, the U.N. Environment Programme released a status report for Gaza and the West Bank, defining the consequences of the intricate political process necessary to gain access to the region.Within the borders, humanitarian aid groups are running out of food items, as are markets, Abdeljaber said, adding that the unfolding situation is "devastating at the moment."The World Food Programme is seeking a humanitarian corridor to allow supplies into Gaza, Moghraby said."We're doing everything we can to make sure that we are reaching the people who seek shelter in the U.N. designated shelters," he said.

Bombings in Gaza are making the situation even more dire

The damage to the infrastructure inside Gaza is impeding the food production and distribution networks, Moghraby said.Bakeries in Gaza have told the WFP that they are running out of fuel, electricity and wheat flour and will soon be unable to provide the organization with bread, Abdeljaber said.But the supplies of food and water are running out, and fast.There are limited stocks of food items inside Gaza, which makes the approval of a humanitarian corridor into the territory even more essential.Those who manage to get food are having to leave their homes and seek shelter from the assaults from the Israeli Defense Forces, a "very risky" endeavor, Abdeljaber said.WFP is also having difficulties in coordinating its movements to make sure that the frontline humanitarian workers remain safe. Nearly a dozen colleagues have lost their lives, Abdeljaber said.Right after the bombing in Gaza began, the World Food Programme provided 73,000 people with ready-to-eat canned food, as well as fresh bread from bakeries within Gaza, Abdeljaber said. The next day, that number jumped to 175,000 people, and on Thursday, the WFP is expected to provide meals to up to 205,000 people, Abdeljaber said.The organization is planning to scale its response to provide more than 800,000 people in Gaza and the West Bank with food, water and essential supplies like cash, Moghraby said.The WFP has experienced setbacks in funding in the past year, Moghraby said.In June, the organization was forced to suspend about 150,000 residents of Gaza from assistance due to lack of funding, Abdeljaber said. The funding typically comes from governments and the private sector, Moghraby said. However, the organization does not work with the governments represented by the de facto authorities on the ground.Before the crisis began, WFP was in need of about $32 million in additional funding to meet its goal. Now, the organization is seeking an additional $17 million just to be able to source the required amount of food for the next four weeks, Abdeljaber said.

Climate change is also threatening the region

Food insecurity and water supply issues are expected to persist in the long term, and not just because of the conflict.Climate change is intensifying existing environmental problems in the region, including increased water stress, a study published by the International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health last year found.The Mediterranean climate leads to wet winters and dry summers, in which there is virtually no precipitation over the hottest months of the year, said Gampe, one of the authors of the 2022 study.A rise in temperature is going to exacerbate the water supply in the region by leading to increased evaporation within the aquifer.With up to 25% less precipitation in the winter months, when the water recharge is supposed to occur, the aquifer could soon run dry of potable water, the research shows."The groundwater exploitation is already exceeding the recharge," he said.Inadequate water supplies often have cascading consequences, including indirect health effects on populations, such as an uptick in diarrhea cases in young children, Gampe said."That will severely affect health and cause a massive problem in the region," he said.。据悉，普罗辛内斯基的突然下课，与吉尔吉斯斯坦足协试图修改其工作合同条款有关。其离任后，目前该队主教练一职，由本土教练乌尔马特·阿布杜凯莫夫接任。在外界看来，普罗辛内斯基的下课十分突然。

二 | 但实际上，早在今年6月，他的帅位就出现了松动。这倒不是说吉尔吉斯斯坦队成绩有多糟糕，尽管在其执教的4场比赛中，该队2平2负一场未赢。但被公认的关键因素，还是在于吉尔吉斯斯坦足协高层的变动。去年12月，普罗辛内斯基接手吉尔吉斯斯坦国家队，合同为期一年零一个月。但其中也规定：若在2027年亚洲杯上取得佳绩，双方将续约3年。当时，对于普罗辛内斯基的到来，时任吉尔吉斯斯坦足协主席卡姆奇别克·塔什耶夫还是满怀期待。不仅在签约仪式上大谈“远大目标”，而且，也希望这位克罗地亚名宿能够为国家队注入新的活力，在实力上寻求进一步的质变。要知道在上一届世界杯预选赛，吉尔吉斯斯坦队不仅杀入18强赛，甚至还击败了亚洲杯冠军卡塔尔队、一胜一平朝鲜队。也正因此，吉尔吉斯斯坦各界对于普罗辛内斯基都是寄予厚望。

三 | 后者刚上任时，也是满怀雄心壮志，甚至喊出力争亚洲杯冠军的口号。但很快，普罗辛内斯基就察觉到现实与理想的差距。今年5月，他公开改口称，亚洲杯目标是踢出好看的足球并争取小组出线。外界普遍认为，这与吉尔吉斯斯坦队热身赛先后以0比1和2比5，不敌赤道几内亚、马达加斯加队还是有很大关系。

四 | 即便如此，普罗辛内斯基当时也没有想要打道回府。而且，吉尔吉斯斯坦队针对下一个世预赛周期，也的确需要培养新人、更新换代。然而就在4月中旬，鼎力将其引进吉尔吉斯斯坦的足协主席卡姆奇别克·塔什耶夫宣布不再参加竞选，很快，现任吉尔吉斯斯坦内阁主席阿德尔别克·卡西马利耶夫当选新一届足协掌门人。据称卡西马利耶夫上任不到一周，迅速就召开了国家队教练组大会，重点讨论即将到来的目标、战略方向和足球发展计划。6月上旬，有吉尔吉斯斯坦媒体宣称，普罗辛内斯基已经萌生去意。但很快，后者在接受亚足联采访时，重申带队亚洲杯的重要性。然而就在最近，吉尔吉斯斯坦足协找到普帅，提议重新协商现有工作合同中的部分条款，但被普罗辛内斯基断然拒绝。有消息称，除了涉及合同中续约3年的内容，前任足协主席塔什耶夫希望普罗辛内斯基，能够在预期的框架内完成一项长期工程，但重新谈判的协议内容则存在很大转变。最终，在无法接受修改合同的情况下，普罗辛内斯基决定与吉尔吉斯斯坦足协解约，提前终止合同并不再带队征战亚洲杯。由于上任仅8个月且带队只踢了4场比赛，吉尔吉斯斯坦媒体认为，很难简单定义普帅究竟是成功抑或失败：“他一场比赛都没赢，但也没有带队参加洲际大赛。他开始着手球队的复兴和换代，然而未能实现就已离任。”不过在很多人看来，吉尔吉斯斯坦足协的高层变动，是导致事态不断发展的一个因素，也许塔什耶夫的离任不代表什么，但领导层的更迭，很快就导致该项目进程中一个转折。而对于中国队来讲，普罗辛内斯基的突然下课，无疑需要引起关注，一方面表明吉尔吉斯斯坦队可能会在未来数月，针对技战术和人员储备做出较大变动。另外，该队2026年迄今的比赛录像，已基本上没有太多参考价值。普罗辛内斯基离任后，吉尔吉斯斯坦足协任命本土教练乌尔马特·阿布杜凯莫夫接手国家队，并确定由其带队参加亚洲杯。