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OpenAI 奥尔特曼承认自己高估 AI 普及速度:最大阻力其实是改变用户习惯_我的网站

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一 |     A move by the Department of Justice to block Arizona’s election law HB 2492, seeking to stop non-citizens from voting, has triggered an angry reaction from Mark Brnovich, currently serving as the state’s 26th Attorney General.,"In addition to free rooms and transportation for those illegally entering our country, the DOJ now wants to give them a chance to vote," Brnovich was cited as fuming by Fox News Digita.,As the DOJ announced on Tuesday it had formally filed the lawsuit, calling the bill a "textbook violation of the National Voter Registration Act," Arizona’s AGquipped: "It's another round of Brnovich v. Biden. I will see you in court…again.",It’s another round of Brnovich v. Biden as his DOJ continues its attempts to undermine our election integrity laws. I will see you in court. Again.— Mark Brnovich (@GeneralBrnovich) July 5, 2022,“Arizona has passed a law that turns the clock back on progress by imposing unlawful and unnecessary requirements that would block eligible voters from the registration rolls for certain federal elections," said Kristen Clarke, assistant attorney general for the Justice Department's Civil Rights Division, in a statement.,She added that the DOJ would continue to “use every available tool to protect all Americans' right to vote and to ensure that their voices are heard.",The DOJ’s Civil Rights Division had already written to Brnovich in June to inform him the agency intended to file a lawsuit against the state over its recently enacted voting law.,The Justice Department argued this new legislation, signed in March by Arizona Republican Gov. Doug Ducey, violated the National Voter Registration Act, as it requires ‘documented proof’ of citizenship, such as a government-issued identification, like a driver's license, tribal ID or passport, to vote in federal elections.,The DOJ has pointed to the 1993 National Voter Registration Act to argue its case.,The Act “requires Arizona to ‘accept and use’ a completed and valid Federal Form to register qualified applicants to vote in all elections for federal office," Assistant Attorney General Kristen Clarke stated in the letter.,"Such applicants need not provide additional documentation to prove their citizenship to be registered to vote in federal elections," she added.,‘Election Safeguards’,Mark Brnovich, however, on July 1 vowed to "defend this law to the US Supreme Court if necessary and defeat the federal government’s efforts to interfere with our state’s election safeguards, as I did last year in Brnovich v DNC," according to Fox News Digital.,GREAT win for the rule of law today. Title 42 is upheld by a federal judge.Our office will continue to do everything in our power to push back against the lawlessness of the Biden Administration. pic.twitter.com/WKQBXp6fXB— Mark Brnovich (@GeneralBrnovich) May 20, 2022,Brnovich, who is also running for the US Senate, added that it was "curious" that the DOJ "would use its resources to challenge a common sense law in Arizona designed to guard against non-citizen voting, while the Biden administration is simultaneously opening our borders to encourage a flood of illegal immigration.",He concluded by questioning whether the federal government was seeking to “undermine” the state’s sovereignty and “destabilize” the election infrastructure.,“I hope this is not your intention," Brnovich was cited as saying.,GOP Cites 'Skewed' Voting as Arizona Woman Pleads Guilty to Illegal Early Ballot Collection Scheme5 June, 13:20 GMT,The legislation recently enacted by Arizona comes as part of a push to stop non-citizens from voting.,Back in 2013, the Supreme Court rejected a bid by Arizona to require its voters to provide proof of citizenship in order to participate in federal elections. The ruling did allow the requirement for state elections.,Arizona is one of a swathe of key battleground states where Republican state lawmakers have been arguing the need for changes to voting procedures. The drive came in the wake of the November 2020 elections, which ex-president Donald Trump has repeatedly slammed as marred by voting “irregularities” that were wielded to “rig” the vote in favour of his rival – Democrat Joe Biden. He blamed manipulations involving electronic Dominion voting machines, as well as mail-in ballots in key swing states. However, state courts threw out Trump’ss complaints, citing lack of evidence.,As Gov. Doug Ducey signed the bill into law on March 30, he stated:,"Election integrity means counting every lawful vote and prohibiting any attempt to illegally cast a vote. H.B. 2492 is a balanced approach that honors Arizona's history of making voting accessible without sacrificing security in our elections."。     8 月 25 日消息,过去几年,全球科技巨头通过新品发布会、媒体采访和大量广告不断向公众灌输一个观点:AI 很快就会改变生活中的几乎一切。OpenAI CEO 奥尔特曼却反其道而行之,主动去修正这种过于激进的预期。奥尔特曼在 23 日公布的播客节目中承认,自己和其他 AI 支持者可能高估了 AI 普及的速度,要达到谷歌搜索或 iPhone 那样深入大众日常生活的程度,恐怕还需要更长时间。奥尔特曼认为,最大的阻力之一其实来自人的习惯。绝大多数人已经非常习惯现有的技术和工作方式,很难迅速改用 Codex 这样的 AI 原生平台。

二 | 即使新工具功能十分强大,企业投入再多营销费用,也很难让用户立即改变多年形成的使用习惯。奥尔特曼坦言:“我觉得自己在几件事上判断错了。

三 | 其中一点就是,经济本身的惯性实在太大。人们还是会继续做原来的事情…… 继续从同一家公司买东西,继续用原来的方式使用工具。从很多方面来说,我觉得这其实是好事,它会让我们面前这场巨大转型变得更平稳、更缓慢,我对此很感激。但这也意味着,我们所有人对时间表的判断都太激进了……”获悉,奥尔特曼进一步指出,改变人的行为比科技圈的人想象中困难得多。

四 | 他把 AI 的普及比作 Netflix 成立初期:当 Netflix 还只是邮寄 DVD 的公司时,人们依然照常去百视达租影片,并没有因为新模式出现就立刻改变习惯。奥尔特曼同时承认,科技业至今没有成功让普通公众真正接受行业所设想的未来,即每个人身边都会有超级智能,而且足够安全的 AI 智能体提供帮助。“作为一个行业,我们并没有很好地向人们解释这些技术究竟有什么好处,以及其中的负面影响可以怎样减轻。

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